Gambling terms, explained straight

Casino & Table Games

Baccarat probability chart

A table that lists the mathematical likelihood of each possible outcome in baccarat, such as a Player, Banker, or Tie win, typically broken down by deck count, game stage, or known card position.

8-deck probabilities
Banker 0.458597, Player 0.446247, Tie 0.0951564
House edges
Banker 1.06%, Player 1.24%, Tie 14.36%26

Key points

  • Charts list outcome probabilities based on deck count, shoe position, or bet type.13
  • Used to compare likelihood and expected value of Player, Banker, or Tie bets under specific conditions.12
  • Some charts show conditional probabilities for side bets or exact totals rather than main bets.5

Where this term is used

Not the same as

  • Baccarat game — the full card game and rule set, not an analytical table of outcomes
Casino games Baccarat commission chart Shows the 5% commission on winning Banker bets. Casino games Baccarat third card rules chart Details when a third card is drawn for Player or Banker. Casino games Craps payout chart Lists payouts for craps bets like Pass Line and Place bets. Casino games Casino baccarat rules Covers the standard rules of baccarat played in casinos. Casino games Craps odds chart Shows true odds and house edges for craps bets. Casino games Baccarat odds Explains the probabilities and house edges for baccarat bets.

Sources

  1. Baccarat Odds Given Known Card - Wizard of Odds wizardofodds.com Defines the term and provides known-card probability examples.
  2. House Edge of Casino Games Compared wizardofodds.com Lists house edges for Banker, Player, and Tie bets.
  3. Probabilities Of Tie Win... wizardofodds.com Supports the definition and the use of charts for tie probabilities.
  4. Baccarat - FAQ wizardofodds.com Provides the 8-deck outcome probabilities.
  5. Baccarat Proposition Bets on Winning Side and Total wizardofodds.com Covers conditional probabilities for side bets and totals.
  6. Baccarat Basics - Rules, Strategy, and Tips for Beginners wizardofodds.com Confirms house edge figures for main bets.

Sources are drawn from regulators, universities and published research, and each one is labelled with what it actually is — a preprint is not called a paper. Bookmaker and affiliate pages are never cited here, because a page that sells betting is not a neutral authority on it.

Written and maintained by Ellis Warrender, writer and maintainer.

Last updated 28 July 2026. Spotted an error? Tell me and it gets fixed and logged on the corrections page.